The Oscars 2014

I am hard pressed to remember a year where there was such competition and uncertainty going into Oscars weekend. Best Picture might just be determined by picking a name out of a hat. Though it makes predicting harder, and thus less fun, I'm all for knowing that there will be actual reasons to tune in.

As before I'll try and keep things brief by stating who I believe will win, should win, might spoil and should've been nominated at least.

Best Picture:
Will Win- 12 Years a Slave.
Should Win-Gravity.
Might Spoil- American Hustle
Overlooked-All is Lost

Best Director:
Will Win- Alfonso Cuaron or Steve McQueen
Should Win- Alfonso Cuaron
Might Spoil- David O. Russell
Overlooked- Jean-Marc Vallée (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actor:
Will Win- Matthew McConaughey
Should Win- Matthew McConaughey
Might Spoil- Chiwetel Ejiofor (but he won't)
Overlooked- Robert Redford (All Is Lost)

Best Actress:
Will Win- Cate Blanchett
Should Win- Sandra Bullock
Might Spoil- Amy Adams
Overlooked- Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)

Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win- Jared Leto
Should Win- Jared Leto
Might Spoil- Michael Fassbender (but he won't)
Overlooked- Nothing jumps out at me here but as always I wasn't able to see everything I wanted to see

Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win- Lupita Nyong'o
Should Win- Lupita Nyong'o
Might Spoil- Jennifer Lawrence
Overlooked- Jennifer Garner (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win- Her
Should Win- Her
Might Spoil- American Hustle
Overlooked- All Is Lost

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win- 12 Years a Slave
Should Win- Wolf of Wall Street
Might Spoil- can't think of any
Overlooked- a small shout out to The Great Gatsby wouldn't have been unwarranted.

Want more?  I'm mostly going with Entertainment Weekly's picks for the rest of the categories for my own pools.

Go get 'em Ellen!